Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.005195 0.005912 0.006734 0.007756 0.009009 0.010510 0.012477
2025-11-30 0.004153 0.005024 0.006116 0.007620 0.009691 0.012534 0.016908
2025-12-07 0.003514 0.004415 0.005611 0.007371 0.010003 0.013998 0.020994
2025-12-14 0.003118 0.004033 0.005302 0.007273 0.010433 0.015672 0.026032
2025-12-21 0.002910 0.003867 0.005251 0.007516 0.011406 0.018485 0.034537
2025-12-28 0.002771 0.003776 0.005284 0.007880 0.012655 0.022220 0.047492
2026-01-04 0.002600 0.003611 0.005177 0.007981 0.013443 0.025338 0.061625
2026-01-11 0.002421 0.003415 0.004991 0.007907 0.013863 0.027816 0.076474
2026-01-18 0.002285 0.003270 0.004869 0.007925 0.014475 0.031031 0.098154
2026-01-25 0.002131 0.003084 0.004656 0.007736 0.014585 0.032981 0.117846
2026-02-01 0.001970 0.002871 0.004377 0.007378 0.014230 0.033470 0.131554
2026-02-08 0.001828 0.002681 0.004122 0.007037 0.013849 0.033758 0.145363
2026-02-15 0.001750 0.002600 0.004069 0.007131 0.014647 0.038625 0.206824
2026-02-22 0.001649 0.002475 0.003924 0.007016 0.014901 0.041894 0.273446
2026-03-01 0.001546 0.002337 0.003742 0.006794 0.014812 0.043858 0.341436
2026-03-08 0.001469 0.002240 0.003628 0.006707 0.015086 0.047623 0.472148
2026-03-15 0.001434 0.002213 0.003645 0.006923 0.016331 0.057097 0.893558
2026-03-22 0.001412 0.002209 0.003705 0.007248 0.018050 0.071468 2.323483
2026-03-29 0.001368 0.002160 0.003670 0.007338 0.019032 0.083215 6.171138
2026-04-05 0.001313 0.002087 0.003580 0.007272 0.019445 0.091931 17.628468
2026-04-12 0.001269 0.002032 0.003524 0.007289 0.020186 0.104883 165.915076
2026-04-19 0.001213 0.001951 0.003405 0.007120 0.020154 0.111298 23999.338924
2026-04-26 0.001148 0.001850 0.003238 0.006801 0.019429 0.110155 NaN